Taiwan poll 結果共102筆

Amid Taiwan’s heated political race, a new TVBS poll shows the DPP’s Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim leading, while the KMT’s Hou Yu-ih and Jaw Shaw-Kong gain ground. The TPP’s support declines, indicating a potential rift in the KMT-TPP coalition, as voter enthusiasm grows.

The latest survey by the Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation (TPOF) reveals that the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) has become the largest party in Taiwan, with a support rate of 25.3%. This puts them slightly ahead of the Kuomintang (KMT) at 24.8% and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) at 24.5%. The TPP has experienced a significant increase in support, rising by 8.3% in the past month, while the DPP and KMT have seen declines of 2.6% and 1.7% respectively. TPOF chairman Michael You emphasized that this poll marks a historic first in Taiwan’s party politics, with less than one percentage point separating the three parties. This development signifies a remarkable evolution in the political landscape. The TPP has benefitted the most from the ＂Blue-White alliance,＂ which has been seeking a change in ruling parties. With the 2024 presidential election still over a month away, Taiwan’s party competition has entered an unprecedented phase where the three parties are on equal footing. Other political parties such as the New Power Party (NPP) and Taiwan Statebuilding Party (TSP) received 2.9% and 1% support respectively, with 1.8% for other minor parties. Approximately 19.1% of respondents did not express support for any party, while 0.7% were undecided or refused to answer. The survey, conducted from November 19-21, used a dual-frame random sampling method encompassing both landlines and mobile phones.

The Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) has made history in Taiwan’s presidential elections by positioning its campaign manager, Vivian Huang, as the top non-constituency legislator-at-large candidate. This unprecedented move has raised concerns about a potential conflict of interest, as Huang holds the power to nominate while also being involved in the election game. Legislator Chuang Jui-hsiung of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) highlighted Huang’s appointment as a reflection of her close rapport with TPP’s presidential candidate Ko Wen-je and her understanding of the Kuomintang’s (KMT) campaign strategies. Huang’s previous engagement with the KMT provides her with intimate knowledge of the opposition’s tactics, allowing her to preemptively contest any strategic moves. As the presidential candidacies were solidified, attention has turned to the election strategies of the major parties, with Huang’s multiple duties generating scrutiny. Her readiness to counteract tactics demonstrates the intensifying nature of Taiwan’s elections as parties prepare for a fierce battle, where alliances and poll maneuvers could have a significant impact.

Foxconn founder Terry Gou has stepped out of the election race, potentially benefiting the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and providing relief to both Foxconn and Apple Inc. Gou’s withdrawal has reassured Foxconn’s leadership team, while his potential candidacy was seen as potentially complicating matters for Apple. Gou and actress Tammy Lai had secured the necessary endorsements to qualify for the race but faced allegations of bribery and data-buying during the campaign. After failed collaborations between the Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), Gou chose to withdraw, stating it was for the future of the Republic of China (Taiwan) and to facilitate a political power transition. Gou’s previous poll support was below 10 percent, and concerns had arisen regarding Foxconn’s operations in China, though the Chinese government imposed only a minor penalty, easing concerns within Foxconn.

The latest poll from the ＂Formosa＂ website reveals a close race in Taiwan’s presidential election, with Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) leading by a slim margin of 31.4%, followed closely by Hou Yu-ih of the Kuomintang (KMT) at 31.1%. Ko Wen-je of the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) trails in third place with 25.2%, over 6 percentage points behind the front-runners. Former legislator Shen Fu-hsiung, speaking on TVBS Situation Room, analyzed the situation, highlighting that the close polling between Hou and Ko does not give Lai a significant advantage. However, he cautioned against calls for a collaboration between the KMT and TPP at this time. Shen further explained that in presidential system countries like Taiwan, cooperation talks are not typically pursued, unlike in parliamentary systems where post-election coalitions may form. With the widening gap in support between Hou and Ko, Shen urged political observers to abandon the idea of a pan-blue alliance. He also emphasized that if the KMT aims to surpass the DPP in the upcoming elections, they should focus on diminishing the TPP’s support and consolidating the pan-blue vote without relying on a formal alliance.

In a closely contested presidential race in Taiwan, a recent poll by Formosa Magazine shows that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate, Lai Ching-te, holds a slim lead over his Kuomintang (KMT) rival, Hou Yu-ih. Lai stands at 31.4%, while Hou is close behind at 31.1%, and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) contender, Ko Wen-je, trails at 25.2%. The razor-thin margin of just 0.3 percentage points between Lai and Hou highlights the intense competition as Taiwan enters the final stage of the election. This election also presents the possibility of a shift in political power, with 27.8% supporting the continuation of the DPP government, 26.8% backing the KMT, and 16.5% siding with the TPP. Approximately 2.9% of the population supports an independent candidate. DPP sources claim that recent unusual polling activities are due to vigorous mobilization by the pan-blue and white camps (KMT and TPP), which have anomalously driven declared rates from about 50% to a staggering 90%. The poll was conducted over three days, from Nov. 21-23, using Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI) and had a valid sample size of 1,331 respondents. The poll paints a picture of a fiercely contested election, with an electorate divided on its future leadership.

DPP vice presidential candidate Hsiao Bi-khim emphasized the importance of expanding support for the DPP’s platform rather than focusing on cooperation with opposition parties. Hsiao made these remarks at an event attended by international media, in response to inquiries about potential collaboration between the KMT and TPP camps. Hsiao also addressed fluctuating poll numbers in Taiwan and emphasized the need to expand the DPP’s support base. Reflecting on her work in Hualien, Hsiao highlighted the common ideals and values she shares with DPP presidential candidate Lai Ching-te. The Lai-Hsiao pairing sees the election as a battle to protect Taiwan’s democratic values, progress democracy, and strengthen the nation’s resilience. After the event, Hsiao is scheduled to engage with various groups to discuss new issues and draw on her international diplomacy experience.

Taiwan’s Formosa Magazine released its latest poll results for the 2024 presidential election. The Democratic Progressive Party’s Lai Ching-te leads in both three-way and four-way races, with the Kuomintang’s Hou Yu-ih closely behind. In a three-way race, Lai has 31.8%, followed by Hou with 29.6% and Taiwan People’s Party’s Ko Wen-je with 27.1%. In a four-way contest, Lai still leads with 30.4%, followed by Hou at 27.2%, Ko at 22.9%, and independent candidate Terry Gou at 5.5%. The poll also addressed the KMT-TPP alliance break, with 17.3% blaming the KMT, 26% blaming the TPP, 20% finding both parties accountable, and 22.3% expressing no opinion.

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) campaign manager Vivian Huang rejects Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih’s proposal to reconsider polling results. Huang emphasizes the importance of integrity and unification, stating that reevaluating the data would undermine the previous expert meeting. The primary objective is to present the strongest candidate and convince supporters of a fair race. Ko Wen-je questions the rationale behind redoing the evaluations, expressing confusion over the KMT’s approach. Hou suggests appointing polling experts to debate and reassess the nine previous polls.

In the midst of Taiwan’s 2024 election preparations, KMT presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih promises to respect TPP candidate Ko Wen-je’s decision, as both parties struggle to finalize a joint ticket amidst disagreements on opinion poll calculations.

Kuomintang’s presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih has revealed his communication with Terry Gou, the founder of Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. The aim is to unite opposition parties and promote political turnover. This announcement follows a six-point consensus achieved between KMT and Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) in the presence of former president Ma Ying-jeou. In response to TPP presidential hopeful Ko Wen-je’s emotional reaction to the agreement, Hou asserts that both parties under Ma’s watch have reached a substantial consensus, and it will be executed as agreed. Hou appeals for support in their mission to expose the incompetent Democratic Progressive Party. He emphasizes that the final judgment regarding any comparison of poll results will be entrusted to a team of three poll experts. The joint effort among opposition parties to challenge the DPP has become a significant narrative in Taiwan’s ongoing political discourse, with a wait-and-watch attitude adopted for the upcoming poll results.

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) presidential candidate Lai Ching-te is facing pressure from the opposition alliance formed by the Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), according to a recent poll by Formosa Magazine. In a three-way race, Lai leads with 33.6% support, followed by KMT’s Hou Yu-ih at 28.5%, and TPP’s Ko Wen-je at 20.5%. The KMT-TPP union, known as the Blue-White Coalition, has put Lai in an unfavorable position, with a combined support for Hou and Ko reaching 49%. Political commentator Wu Tzu-chia noted the narrowing gap between Lai and Hou, with just a 5.1 percentage point difference. When Ko’s 20.5% support is considered, the Hou-Ko duo leads Lai by a significant 16 percentage points. The formation of the Blue-White Coalition has intensified the election battle for Lai, as indicated by the poll. The Blue-White agreement, reached on Nov. 15 by Ko, Hou, former president Ma Ying-jeou, and KMT Chairman Eric Chu, has caused ripples in Taiwan’s political landscape.

Vivian Huang, campaign manager for Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je, has denied rumors of her resignation, stating that she will stay by his side until the end. This comes as the presidential election is approaching in less than two months. Huang emphasized her loyalty to Ko, saying, ＂I’ve fought by Ko’s side for the past three years. What does not kill you makes you stronger!＂ Additionally, the TPP and Kuomintang (KMT) reached a party alliance consensus, with Ko meeting with KMT heavyweights, including party chairman Eric Chu and presidential candidate Hou Yu-ih, with former President Ma Ying-jeou as a witness. Both parties have agreed to use a point-based system to assess public opinion poll results, with three recommended polling experts evaluating the polls from November 7 to November 17, along with two internal polls from the KMT and TPP. The results will be unveiled by the Ma Ying-jeou Foundation on Saturday, ultimately determining the order of the ticket – either Hou and Ko, or Ko and Hou.

The collaborative ＂Hou-Ko＂ candidate ticket in the Taiwan presidential election has received significant support in an online poll conducted by United Daily News. As of Thursday morning, around 320,000 people had voted, with 70% favoring Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih over Taiwan People’s Party’s (TPP) Ko Wen-je. The poll, which lasted 15 days, allowed daily voting and resulted in a coalition between the KMT and the TPP. The collaboration aims to consolidate opposition strength under the presidential candidate with the highest support, as determined by polls and announced by the Ma Ying-jeou Foundation. The results will be publicized on Nov. 18, and both parties will form a campaign committee to endorse their candidates. Under the watch of Ma Ying-jeou, the KMT and TPP pledged to establish a joint government to lead Taiwan’s third wave of democratic reform.

The latest poll on potential collaboration between the Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) reveals that 12% of voters believe candidate popularity in polls should be the sole basis for nomination consideration, while 20% think only party capability should be considered. However, the majority, at 47%, believe that both factors should be given equal importance. According to the survey released by the United Daily News, 60% of voters believe the popularity poll results of candidates play a crucial role in deciding the presidential and vice-presidential nominees for the potential KMT-TPP alliance. Other considerations for voters include the parties’ control over legislative seats (49%), popularity polls of the nominating parties (46%), and the ruling parties under their jurisdictions (40%). If the alliance breaks down, 33% of voters would blame the KMT, 28% would blame the TPP, 23% believe both parties are equally responsible, and 16% have no opinion.

Taiwan’s Ministry of Transportation and Communications (MOTC) has stated that there is currently no timetable for a decision on whether heavy motorcycles should be allowed on the highway, due to the lack of consensus on the matter. A local motorcycle organization plans to protest outside the MOTC on November 26, with over 5,000 heavy motorcycles and tens of thousands of people participating. MTOC Minister Wang Kwo-tsai has expressed that the current situation is not yet suitable for heavy motorcycles on highways, as the behavior of riders could cause disturbances. Additionally, a poll shows that around 60% of the population is opposed to the idea, further highlighting the lack of consensus.

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je urges the resolution of the alliance between the Kuomintang (KMT) and TPP. Ko emphasizes the need for urgency, suggesting that the matter be resolved within one to two days. He also calls for transparency in the meeting with KMT chairman Eric Chu and invites former President Ma Ying-jeou as a witness. Ko clarifies that collaboration at various levels is not in question, but the discord lies in the combination of presidential candidates. Both Ma and former Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu support a public opinion survey to determine the final ticket lineup. KMT Chairperson Chu acknowledges the mutual understanding regarding the survey but highlights the need for further negotiation and discussion on the details and rules of the proposed plan.

Taichung Mayor Lu Shiow-yen expressed her support for a potential ＂Blue-White＂ coalition between the Kuomintang (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) if they can find consensus. With less than two weeks until election registration, the details of this coalition have yet to be finalized. Lu emphasized the urgency of finding a means of cooperation during this critical period. She stated that she is willing to help as long as both parties agree, without insisting on any particular approach. Lu also discussed the limitations of opinion polls in predicting election results, citing her own past election victories despite unfavorable poll numbers. These views were expressed while she was campaigning in Kaohsiung for legislative candidate Chung I-chung.

Kuomintang (KMT) Chairman Eric Chu emphasizes the need for collective negotiation in the third wave of democratic reform, amidst a potential ＂blue-white party alliance＂ for the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan. Chu’s comments follow Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je’s openness to using nationwide polling, a method favored by former President Ma Ying-jeou, to determine the final candidate combination. While the KMT and TPP agree on implementing a national poll, differences remain in the content and rules. Chu is committed to upholding the spirit of democratic reform and negotiation, and ongoing talks with Ko have not been interrupted.

Former President Ma Ying-jeou supports conducting a public poll to determine the final candidate combination for the upcoming presidential race in Taiwan. The Kuomintang’s (KMT) Hou Yu-ih and Taiwan People’s Party’s (TPP) Ko Wen-je have yet to decide who will run as the presidential or vice presidential candidate if a party alliance is formed. Executive director Xiao Xucen of the Ma Ying-jeou Foundation revealed that a prominent blue camp figure visited Ma and suggested comparing the ＂Hou-Ko＂ and ＂Ko-Hou＂ combinations with the Democratic Progressive Party’s ＂Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim＂ combination through a public poll. Ma Ying-jeou expressed strong agreement with this proposal. Xiao has shared this information with Hou’s campaign office and the party.

Taiwan People’s Party presidential candidate Ko Wen-je’s disapproval rating has increased by 14.5 percentage points to 42.3%, making him the most unpopular among the contenders, according to a recent poll. The survey also revealed that Democratic Progressive Party candidate Lai Ching-te has an approval rating of 33% and a disapproval rating of 39.5%, while Kuomintang candidate Hou You-yi has an approval rating of 27.3% and a disapproval rating of 32%. Independent candidate Terry Gou received an approval rating of 17.9% and a disapproval rating of 33.9%. Compared to a previous poll conducted in May 2023, all four candidates saw an increase in disapproval ratings and a decline in approval ratings. Notably, Ko’s disapproval rating increased by 14.5 percentage points, while Gou’s approval rating fell by 16.1 percentage points.

The latest poll by Formosa Magazine reveals that Lai Ching-te, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate, is leading the race for the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan with 38.5% support. The Kuomintang (KMT) candidate, Hou Yu-ih, trails behind at 26.2%, while Ko Wen-je, the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) candidate, secures 16.9% support. Including independent candidate Terry Gou, Lai is leading with 35.6% approval in the ＂four-legged race,＂ followed by Hou at 22.2%, Ko at 16.9%, and Gou at the bottom with 6.9%. The survey also asked non-Lai supporters if they would vote for the candidate with the highest level of support among Ko, Hou, and Gou to beat the ruling DPP. 45.5% of respondents disagreed, while 39.1% agreed. In comparison to the previous poll, Lai saw a 0.8 percentage point increase to 38.5% in a three-legged race, while Hou dropped 1.4 percentage points to 26.2%. Ko, on the other hand, increased by 1.4 percentage points. Regardless of the race format, Hou currently beats Ko by five to six percentage points. The poll was conducted from November 2-3 and 6, surveying 1,201 adults across 22 counties and cities nationwide, with an error margin of 2.8% at a 95% confidence level.

Over half of Taiwan’s residents believe that the country’s president and majority of legislators should come from different political parties, according to a poll conducted by Shih Hsin University’s Institute of Knowledge Economy Development. The poll showed that 51.8% of respondents held this view. Additionally, the poll found that 77.7% of participants supported the president giving a State of the Nation address to the Legislative Yuan. However, only 28.8% of participants were aware that an annual report to the legislature was a presidential responsibility. In terms of party cooperation, 53.5% of respondents backed the idea of the Kuomintang and the Taiwan People’s Party taking turns in the Presidential or Premier posts. Within this group, 36.1% were ＂somewhat supportive＂ and 17.4% were ＂strongly supportive,＂ while 30.2% opposed such a proposal. Furthermore, 34.5% of participants believed it would be best if the president and the majority of the Legislative Yuan were from the same party. This opinion was more prevalent among university graduates (59.3%) and those with postgraduate degrees (52.3%). The poll also revealed that 36.8% of respondents support the current government led by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), while 45.8% oppose it, and 17.4% did not express an opinion.

The latest presidential poll by Newtalk shows that Ko Wen-je of the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) has surpassed Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), while Hou Yu-ih of the Kuomintang (KMT) has also gained support. Ko leads Lai by 0.52%, and Lai’s lead over Hou is only 0.08%, indicating a closely contested election. However, if Terry Gou were to enter the race, the rankings would change significantly. Lai would still be first, but Hou would move up to second, Ko would drop to third, and Gou would trail at the end with 9.39%. This is the first time in past polls that Hou surpasses Ko. The poll collected data from 1,088 valid answers through online questionnaires sent to random mobile phone numbers. The findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.03% at a 95% confidence level.

Taiwan People’s Party Chairman Ko Wen-je has urged Kuomintang Chairman Eric Chu to propose a viable method for selecting the strongest presidential candidate. The call comes amid ongoing disagreements between the two parties and with less than three weeks remaining until the registration deadline. The future of the KMT-TPP alliance remains in question.